An interesting report over on The Aviationist website of recent activity over the Baltic States, with Russian spy planes clearly testing NATO response times and systems:
''On May 25 NATO fighters intercepted one an Il-20 Coot spy plane flying from mainland Russia to Kaliningrad in international airspace over the Baltic Sea. The Il-20 intelligence gathering aircraft did not have a filed FPL, did not maintain radio contact and did not use the onboard transponder, a kind of behaviour that has raised some concern in the past, when Russians spy planes flying in the vicinity of busy airways have almost collided with civilian traffic in the region as happened for instance on Mar. 3, 2014, when SAS flight SK 681, a Boeing 737 with 132 people on board from Copenhagen to Rome almost collided with an Il-20 Coot, about 50 miles to the southwest of Malmö, Sweden.''
This would be a very good basis for a potential flash point and a realistic scenario for a campaign start point, with NATO or Swedish interceptors forced to shoot down a Russian Il-20 Coot in response to a near mid-air collision, or NATO interceptors accused of shooting down a Russian spy plane after a collision has taken place. At the very least, there's a decent scenario for Target Locked On! or similar? I really should get those 1/600 aircraft painted up!